About me

Andreas GraefeI am a LMU Research Fellow associated with the Department of Communication Science and Media Research at LMU Munich, Germany. Before that I was a researcher at the Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology. I also worked in the private sector as a senior manager for the German pay-tv company Sky Deutschland, where I led the CRM Resource Management Department.

My research focus is on the development of forecasting methods and principles that are simple to use, easy to understand, and thus can aid decision-making in the real world. My work is highly interdisciplinary and got published in leading journals in various fields, such as communication (e.g., Public Opinion Quarterly), political science (e.g., Electoral Studies), forecasting (e.g., International Journal of Forecasting), decision making (e.g., Journal of Behavioral Decision Making), business (e.g., Journal of Business Research), economics (e.g., Futures), informatics (BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making), and engineering (e.g., IEEE Pervasive Computing). I regularly present my work in invited talks and at academic conferences. Reports of my research have appeared in New Scientist, Deutsche Welle, Süddeutsche Zeitung, SZ Wissen, and n-tv.

with one of my heroes,
Benjamin Franklin

In 2013, I established the research focus Forecasting Politics at LMU’s Center for Advanced Studies. I am also taking care of Polly, our parrot that does such a good job in forecasting U.S. Presidential Elections and, since 2013, German Federal Elections. Polly can be visited at www.pollyvote.com and www.pollyvote.de. I am also an Associate Editor of the Journal of Business Research and Foresight – The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.

I received my PhD in Economics (summa cum laude) from the University of Karlsruhe (Germany) and a diploma (German equivalent to a master’s degree) in Economics as well as a diploma in Business Informatics (Wirtschaftsinformatik) from the University of Regensburg (Germany). From January 2008 to December 2009, I was visiting with Professor Scott Armstrong at the University of Pennsylvania‘s Wharton Business School. Between 2001 and 2002 I also studied for two semesters at the University of Zurich (Switzerland).