I am a LMU Research Fellow associated with the Department of Communication Science and Media Research at the Ludwig-Maximilian Universität LMU Munich, Germany. Before that I was working as Senior Manager in the areas of Forecasting / Planning and CRM Resource Management for the German pay-tv company Sky Deutschland.
I have published a number of research articles (including papers in International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Journal of Business Research, BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, Futures, and the Journal of Prediction Markets) and presented my work in several talks. My research focus is on the development of new forecasting methods that are simple to use, easy to understand, and thus can aid decision-making in the real world. Reports of my research have appeared in New Scientist, Deutsche Welle, Süddeutsche Zeitung, SZ Wissen, and n-tv.
I received my PhD in Economics (summa cum laude) from the University of Karlsruhe (Germany) and a diploma (German equivalent to a master’s degree) in Economics as well as a diploma in Business Informatics (Wirtschaftsinformatik) from the University of Regensburg (Germany). From January 2008 to December 2009, I was visiting with Professor Scott Armstrong at theUniversity of Pennsylvania‘s Wharton Business School. Between 2001 and 2002 I also studied for two semesters at the University of Zurich (Switzerland).
Together with Alfred Cuzán, Randy Jones, and Scott Armstrong, I am taking care of Polly, our parrot that does such a good job in forecasting U.S. Presidential Elections. Polly can be visited at www.pollyvote.com. I am also an Associate Editor of the Journal of Business Research and serve as the Prediction Markets Editor for Foresight – The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.