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Presentations

Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates

Symposium on Leadership and Individual Differences, Lausanne, November 30 - December 1, 2009

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Konjunkturprognosebörse – Ein Baustein kombinierter Prognosen

Workshop Neue Verfahren der Kurzfristprognose at the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology (BMWi), Berlin, 30 July, 2009.

 

Methoden für Wahlvorhersagen – Das PollyVote Projekt zur Vorhersage der U.S. Präsidentschaftswahlen

Lecture series Junge Talente – Wissenschaft und Musik, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, 12 March, 2009

 

Can you beat the market? Accuracy of Individual and Group Post-Prediction Market Judgments

2008 INFORMS Annual Meeting, October 15, 2008.

 

Harnessing collective knowledge - Use Markets to improve your forecasts

Forecasting Summit, Boston, USA, 17 September, 2008.

 

PollyVote – Forecasting the US Presidential Election

Opening ceremony for the Karlsruhe House of Young Scientists (KHYS), Karlsruhe, Germany, 03 July, 2008.

 

Group decision making - Face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, delphi, and prediction markets compared

Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, in conjunction with ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC'08), Chicago, USA, 09 July, 2008.

 

Can you beat the market? Accuracy of individual and group post-prediction market judgments

Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, in conjunction with ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC'08), Chicago, USA, 09 July, 2008.

 

Group decision making - Face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, delphi and prediction markets compared

28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, 22-25 June, 2008.

 

Forecasting presidential elections from candidates' positions on issues and policies

28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, 22-25 June, 2008.

 

Technologische Innovationen in der medizischen Versorgung. Wo stehen wir? Wohin geht die Reise?

MedicaMedia, Düsseldorf, Germany, 16 November 2007.

 

Using markets to forecast the future

3rd International Conference on Organisational Foresight: Learning the Future Faster, Glasgow, Scotland, UK, 16-18 August, 2007.

 

Aspects of information aggregation - A comparison of the Delphi method and prediction markets

27th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, New York City, USA, 24-27 June, 2007.

 

Prediction markets: An auspicious web-based technology for participatory decision-making

3rd International Conference on Technology, Knowledge and Society, Cambridge, UK, 9-12 January, 2007.

 

Information markets as a participatory method for technology assessment

NTA2 - Second conference of the TA Network: Technology Assessment in World Society, Berlin, Germany, 22-24 November, 2006.

 

Einflüsse von aktuellen Trends und Stakeholderinteressen auf die Verbreitung von Pervasive Computing im Gesundheitswesen. Eine interdisziplinäre Betrachtung

51.Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie (GMDS), Leipzig, Germany, 10-14 September, 2006.