andreas-graefe.org

Comparing Face-to-face Meetings, Nominal Groups, Delphi and Prediction Markets on an Estimation Task

with Scott Armstrong

Accepted for publication in the International Journal of Forecasting

PREDICTION MARKETS FOR FORECASTING DRUG DEVELOPMENT

Forthcoming in Foresight - The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

Prediction markets versus alternative methods. Empirical tests of accuracy and acceptability

Doctoral dissertation, Universität Karlsruhe.

Analyzing the Way of Pervasive Computing to Routine Use in Healthcare

with Carsten Orwat, Asarnusch Rashid, Michaela Wölk, Mandy Scheermesser, Hannah Kosow and Carsten Holtmann.

Forthcoming in IEEE Pervasive Computing.

Forecasting the 2008 Election with the Pollyvote

with J. Scott Armstrong, Alfred Cuzán, and Randall J. Jones Jr

Foresight - The International Journal of Forecasting 2009 (12), 41-42.

Forecasting for climate policy: CO2, global temperatures, and alarms

with Kesten Green, Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon.

Proceedings of the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Hong Kong, 21-24 June, 2009

Prediction Markets for Foresight

with Stefan Luckner and Christof Weinhardt

Futures (Online first).

Folgenabschaetzung mit Prognosemärkten

Technikfolgenabschaetzung - Theorie und Praxis 16(2), 66-73.

Towards Pervasive Computing in Health Care - A Literature Review

with Carsten Orwat and Timm Faulwasser

BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 8:26. (highly accessed)

Prediction Markets - Defining Events and Motivating Participation

Foresight 2008 (9), 30-32.

Long-term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence

with Christof Weinhardt

Journal of Prediction Markets 2(2), 71-92.

Der Umgang mit Barrieren bei der Einführung von Pervasive Computing. Ein Literaturüberblick

with Carsten Orwat and Timm Faulwasser

Technikfolgenabschätzung - Theorie und Praxis, 16(2), 66-73.

Forecasting presidential elections from candidates' positions

with Scott Armstrong

Proceedings of the 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, 22-25 June, 2008

Group decision making - Face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets compared

with Scott Armstrong

Proceedings of the 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, 22-25 June, 2008

Methods to Elicit Forecasts From Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared

with Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong

Foresight 2007(8), 17-20

Forecasting mit Prognosemärkten

In Bora, A., Bröchler, S., Decker, M. (Hrsg): Technology Assessment in der Weltgesellschaft, Berlin: Edition Sigma, 2007, pp. 439-444.

Aspects of information aggregation: A comparison of  the Delphi method and prediction markets

with Christof Weinhardt

Proceedings of the 27^th International Symposium on Forecasting, New York City, 24-27 June, 2007

Prediction Markets as a Mechanism for Public Engagement? A First Classification and Open Questions

with Carsten Orwat

International Journal of Technology, Knowledge and Society, 3(4), 137-142.

Einflüsse von aktuellen Trends und Stakeholderinteressen auf die Verbreitung von Pervasive Computing im Gesundheitswesen. Eine interdisziplinäre Betrachtung

with Asarnusch Rashid and Mandy Scheermesser

Tagungsband der 51.Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie (GMDS), Leipzig 2006.

Time is Brain - Analyse der Rettungskette im Schlaganfall

with Carsten Holtmann, Asarnusch Rashid, Bernd Griewing, and Christof Weinhardt

In: Eymann, T., Koop, A. (Hrsg.): Mobiles Computing in der Medizin, Proceedings zum 5. Workshop der GMDS Arbeitsgruppe Mobiles Computing in der Medizin, Frankfurt: Shaker Verlag, 2006, pp. 52-67.

Pervasive Computing im Gesundheitswesen - Technologiebeurteilung durch interdisziplinäre Forschung

with Bernd Griewing, Carsten Holtmann, Asarnusch Rashid,  and Mandy Scheermesser

Krankenhaus IT-Journal, 2006 (2), 44-47.