Accuracy of prediction markets and surveys: A brief review
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Prediction market accuracy for business forecasting
In Vaughan Williams, L. (in press). Prediction Markets, Routledge.
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Conditions under which index models are useful
with Scott Armstrong
Forthcoming in Journal of Business Research.
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Predicting elections from the most important issue: A test of the take-the-best heuristic
with Scott Armstrong
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (Online first)
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Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates: A test of the index method
with Scott Armstrong.
Forthcoming in Journal of Business Research.
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Comparing Face-to-face Meetings, Nominal Groups, Delphi and Prediction Markets on an Estimation Task
with Scott Armstrong
International Journal of Forecasting (Online first)
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Prediction markets versus alternative methods. Empirical tests of accuracy and acceptability
Doctoral dissertation, Universität Karlsruhe.
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Adopting Pervasive Computing for Routine Use in Healthcare
with Carsten Orwat, Asarnusch Rashid, Michaela Wölk, Mandy Scheermesser, Hannah Kosow and Carsten Holtmann.
IEEE Pervasive Computing, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 64-71, Apr.-June 2010.
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Forecasting the 2008 Election with the Pollyvote
with J. Scott Armstrong, Alfred Cuzán, and Randall J. Jones Jr
Foresight - The International Journal of Forecasting 2009 (12), 41-42.
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Forecasting for climate policy: CO2, global temperatures, and alarms
with Kesten Green, Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon.
Proceedings of the 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Hong Kong, 21-24 June, 2009
Prediction Markets for Foresight
with Stefan Luckner and Christof Weinhardt
Futures, 42, 394-404.
Folgenabschaetzung mit Prognosemärkten
Technikfolgenabschaetzung - Theorie und Praxis 16(2), 66-73.
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Towards Pervasive Computing in Health Care - A Literature Review
with Carsten Orwat and Timm Faulwasser
BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 8:26. (highly accessed)
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Prediction Markets - Defining Events and Motivating Participation
Foresight 2008 (9), 30-32.
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Long-term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence
with Christof Weinhardt
Journal of Prediction Markets 2(2), 71-92.
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Der Umgang mit Barrieren bei der Einführung von Pervasive Computing. Ein Literaturüberblick
with Carsten Orwat and Timm Faulwasser
Technikfolgenabschätzung - Theorie und Praxis, 16(2), 66-73.
Forecasting presidential elections from candidates' positions
with Scott Armstrong
Proceedings of the 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, 22-25 June, 2008
Group decision making - Face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets compared
with Scott Armstrong
Proceedings of the 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, 22-25 June, 2008
Methods to Elicit Forecasts From Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
with Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong
Foresight 2007(8), 17-20
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Forecasting mit Prognosemärkten
In Bora, A., Bröchler, S., Decker, M. (Hrsg): Technology Assessment in der Weltgesellschaft, Berlin: Edition Sigma, 2007, pp. 439-444.
Aspects of information aggregation: A comparison of the Delphi method and prediction markets
with Christof Weinhardt
Proceedings of the 27th International Symposium on Forecasting, New York City, 24-27 June, 2007
Prediction Markets as a Mechanism for Public Engagement? A First Classification and Open Questions
with Carsten Orwat
International Journal of Technology, Knowledge and Society, 3(4), 137-142.
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Einflüsse von aktuellen Trends und Stakeholderinteressen auf die Verbreitung von Pervasive Computing im Gesundheitswesen. Eine interdisziplinäre Betrachtung
with Asarnusch Rashid and Mandy Scheermesser
Tagungsband der 51.Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie (GMDS), Leipzig 2006.
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Time is Brain - Analyse der Rettungskette im Schlaganfall
with Carsten Holtmann, Asarnusch Rashid, Bernd Griewing, and Christof Weinhardt
In: Eymann, T., Koop, A. (Hrsg.): Mobiles Computing in der Medizin, Proceedings zum 5. Workshop der GMDS Arbeitsgruppe Mobiles Computing in der Medizin, Frankfurt: Shaker Verlag, 2006, pp. 52-67.
Pervasive Computing im Gesundheitswesen - Technologiebeurteilung durch interdisziplinäre Forschung
with Bernd Griewing, Carsten Holtmann, Asarnusch Rashid, and Mandy Scheermesser
Krankenhaus IT-Journal, 2006 (2), 44-47.
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