andreas-graefe.org

Accuracy of prediction markets and surveys: A brief review

Forthcoming in Foresight - The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

Conditions under which index models are useful

with Scott Armstrong

Forthcoming in Journal of Business Research.

Predicting elections from the most important issue: A test of the take-the-best heuristic

with Scott Armstrong

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (Online first)

Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates: A test of the index method

with Scott Armstrong.

Forthcoming in Journal of Business Research.

Comparing Face-to-face Meetings, Nominal Groups, Delphi and Prediction Markets on an Estimation Task

with Scott Armstrong

International Journal of Forecasting (Online first)

PREDICTION MARKETS FOR FORECASTING DRUG DEVELOPMENT

Foresight - The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010 (17), 8-12.

Prediction Markets for Foresight

with Stefan Luckner and Christof Weinhardt

Futures, 42, 394-404.

Adopting Pervasive Computing for Routine Use in Healthcare

with Carsten Orwat, Asarnusch Rashid, Michaela Wölk, Mandy Scheermesser, Hannah Kosow and Carsten Holtmann.

IEEE Pervasive Computing, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 64-71, Apr.-June 2010.

Forecasting the 2008 Election with the Pollyvote

with J. Scott Armstrong, Alfred Cuzán, and Randall J. Jones Jr

Foresight - The International Journal of Forecasting 2009 (12), 41-42.

Long-term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence

with Christof Weinhardt

Journal of Prediction Markets 2(2), 71-92.

Towards Pervasive Computing in Health Care - A Literature Review

with Carsten Orwat and Timm Faulwasser

BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 8:26. (highly accessed)

Prediction Markets - Defining Events and Motivating Participation

Foresight 2008 (9), 30-32.

Methods to Elicit Forecasts From Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared

with Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong

Foresight 2007(8), 17-20

Prediction Markets as a Mechanism for Public Engagement? A First Classification and Open Questions

with Carsten Orwat

International Journal of Technology, Knowledge and Society, 3(4), 137-142.