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Work in progress

Work in progress

PollyVote - Combining Forecasts to Predict U.S. Presidential Elections

with Alfred Cuzán, Randy Jones, and Scott Armstrong, .

Forecasting elections from biographical information about candidates

with Scott Armstrong

Advice-taking from prediction markets, meetings, and the Delphi method

with Scott Armstrong

Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues

with Scott Armstrong.

Predicting elections from the single most important issue

with Scott Armstrong

Combining prediction market prices to improve forecast accuracy

with Scott Armstrong and Gagan Sarawgi

Using prediction markets to solve complex problems

with Kesten Green, Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon

The popularity heuristic. Using search query data for forecasting

with Scott Armstrong