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Work in progress

Under review

Under review

Combining Forecasts: An Application to U.S. Presidential Elections

with Alfred Cuzán, Randy Jones, and Scott Armstrong, .

Taking Advice from prediction markets, meetings, and the Delphi method

Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues

with Scott Armstrong.

Combining prediction market prices to improve forecast accuracy

with Scott Armstrong and Gagan Sarawgi

Using prediction markets to solve complex problems

with Kesten Green, Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon

The popularity heuristic. Using search query data for forecasting

with Scott Armstrong

Published research

Work in progress